ENVISION   A spatially explicit, multiparadigm modeling framework for analysis of coupled natural/human systems and alternative future scenarios
Integrated Modeling Platform
Envision Puget Sound

Introduction

This study focused on exploring trajectories of change in the Puget Sound Region of Washington. This project supports a broader analysis of the region focused on understanding impacts of alternative growth and development strategies on nearshore ecosystem processes and services. The study area contains a mixture of agriculture, forest, urban, and rural residential lands. It was funded by the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife. The Final Report (pdf) for this project is available here. WDFW Logo

Three scenarios were run: 1) Status Quo, assuming current trends continue into the future, 2) Managed Growth, assuming a fairly aggressive set of policies are enacted to target growth to urban areas and regional growth centers will protected a variety of conservation lands, and 3) Unconstrained growth, relaxing land use regulation and tending towards low-density development patterns. A video flyover is available:

 Envision Policies used in this analysis are available as HTML (human readable), XML (Envision input file) and in PDF format (requires Adobe Reader). A Data Dictionary containing descriptions of the data fields used in this analysis is available in HTML format as well as PDF format. A description of the Scenarios is available in PDF Format.

Results are available in ArcGIS compatible data layers. Click here: Status Quo Unconstrained Growth Managed Growth. The maps include the entire Puget Sound and have been packaged as featureclasses in a file geodatabase. The geodatabase and with the associated output are packaged as a single zip archive for each scenario.

April 18, 2012: A set of shapefiles representing 2006 and 2070 are available here: SQ UG MG

Individual results are available by clicking on the links below. Decadal Maps are zip files, Run Summaries are Excel (.xlsx) format). NOTE: Most of these are large (multi-megabyte) files, so they may take a little time to download.

Hood Canal (HC)

Scenario Cross-Scenario Summaries
(2000-2050 - PDF Format)
Status Quo
Managed Growth
Unconstrained Growth

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends (pdf)

Population Density MapTrends (pdf)

Decadal Maps (10/19)

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends(pdf)

Population Density Map Trends (pdf)

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends (pdf)

Population Density Map Trends (pdf)

Land Cover Comparison Map

Impervious Surfaces Comparison Map

Population Density Comparison Map

Land Cover Trends

Overwater Structure Trends

% Growth in UGA's Trend

Juan de Fuca (JF)

Scenario Cross-Scenario Summaries
(2000-2050 - PDF Format)
Status Quo
Managed Growth
Unconstrained Growth

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends (pdf)

Population Density MapTrends (pdf)

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends(pdf)

Population Density Map Trends (pdf)

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends (pdf)

Population Density Map Trends (pdf)

Land Cover Comparison Map

Impervious Surfaces Comparison Map

Population Density Comparison Map

Land Cover Trends

Overwater Structure Trends

% Growth in UGA's Trend

North Central (NC)

Scenario Cross-Scenario Summaries
(2000-2050 - PDF Format)
Status Quo
Managed Growth
Unconstrained Growth

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends (pdf)

Population Density MapTrends (pdf)

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends(pdf)

Population Density Map Trends (pdf)

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends (pdf)

Population Density Map Trends (pdf)

Land Cover Comparison Map

Impervious Surfaces Comparison Map

Population Density Comparison Map

Land Cover Trends

Overwater Structure Trends

% Growth in UGA's Trend

South Central (SC)

Scenario Cross-Scenario Summaries
(2000-2050 - PDF Format)
Status Quo
Managed Growth
Unconstrained Growth

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends (pdf)

Population Density MapTrends (pdf)

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends(pdf)

Population Density Map Trends (pdf)

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends (pdf)

Population Density Map Trends (pdf)

Land Cover Comparison Map

Impervious Surfaces Comparison Map

Population Density Comparison Map

Land Cover Trends

Overwater Structure Trends

% Growth in UGA's Trend

San Juans (SJ)

Scenario Cross-Scenario Summaries
(2000-2050 - PDF Format)
Status Quo
Managed Growth
Unconstrained Growth

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends (pdf)

Population Density MapTrends (pdf)

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends(pdf)

Population Density Map Trends (pdf)

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends (pdf)

Population Density Map Trends (pdf)

Land Cover Comparison Map

Impervious Surfaces Comparison Map

Population Density Comparison Map

Land Cover Trends

Overwater Structure Trends

% Growth in UGA's Trend

South Puget (SP)

Scenario Cross-Scenario Summaries
(2000-2050 - PDF Format)
Status Quo
Managed Growth
Unconstrained Growth

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends (pdf)

Population Density MapTrends (pdf)

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends(pdf)

Population Density Map Trends (pdf)

Decadal Maps-10/19

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends (pdf)

Population Density Map Trends (pdf)

Land Cover Comparison Map

Impervious Surfaces Comparison Map

Population Density Comparison Map

Land Cover Trends

Overwater Structure Trends

% Growth in UGA's Trend

Whidbey (WH)

Scenario Cross-Scenario Summaries
(2000-2050 - PDF Format)
Status Quo
Managed Growth
Unconstrained Growth

Decadal Maps-10/21

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends (pdf)

Population Density MapTrends (pdf)

Decadal Maps-10/21

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends(pdf)

Population Density Map Trends (pdf)

Decadal Maps-10/21

Excel Run Summary

Land Cover Map Trends (pdf)

Population Density Map Trends (pdf)

Land Cover Comparison Map

Impervious Surfaces Comparison Map

Population Density Comparison Map

Land Cover Trends

Overwater Structure Trends

% Growth in UGA's Trend

 

Funding for this project provided by the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife
WDFW Logo