Below are a number of case studies of coupled human/natural systems that have been conducted using Envision.


Oregon Coastal Futures

The project is developing a suite of futuer scenarios for the Oregon coast, examining acute hazards (e.g. tsunamis, earthquakes), chronic hazards (e.g. flooding, erosion), growth and development policies (e.g. relocation, hardening), critical infrastructure, and their interactions under changing climatic and near-shore environmental conditions. This project is being done in conjunction with the Oregon Sea Grant Program.

Social Influence Networks and Wildfire Management in the Central Oregon

The project is examining the role of "social influence networks" on land management decision-making around wildfire management. A primary goal of this effort is the to develop new models of social influence networks and there role in coupled socioecological systems, and integrating models of social influence with other biophysical and socioeconomic processes to examine the dynamics of coupled social-ecological systems in wildfire-prone landscapes using the Envision modeling framework. This project is being funded by the National Science Foundation.

Alternative Futures for Water, Food, and Agriculture in California's Central Valley

This effort is examining the roles of future climate, water management policy, and growth on agricultural production in California's Central Valley. This project is being done in conjuction UC-Merced and other partners, and is funded by the USDA as part of it's INFEWS program.

Mainsteaming Climate Change in Canada - the Farms-to-Regions Project

This effort examined a variety of alternative futures for agriculture in Canada's Ontario region, examining local food production, global export markets, climate-induced yield changes, farm consolidation, and animal agriculture on farm viability, food security, and habitat provisioning. A summary report is available. This project was done in conjuction with the Institute for Sustainable Development and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada.

Big Wood Basin Alternative Futures

The goals of this project are to explore interactions between agriculture, urban land use practices, and recreational activities under future conditions of climate and water supply in the Big Wood Basin in central Idaho. Our approach is to work closely with stakeholders in each step of the process to ensure that research is delivered in a usable form for public and private decision makers. This project is being done in conjunction with the Climate Impacts Research Consortium

Gray's Harbor Coastal Futures

This project is working with communities in Gray's Harbor, Washington to explore impacts of climate change-induced sea level rise on coastal community sustainabilityThis project is partnering with the Climate Impacts Research Consortium.

Tillamook Coastal Futures

This project is exploring how the impacts of sea level rise along with population growth and future development patterns may impact coastal communities in Tillamook County, Oregon. Our Knowledge-To-Action Network is co-producing knowledge necessary for adaptation planning. This project is partnering with the Climate Impacts Research Consortium.

Willamette Water 2100

This project is evaluating how climate change, population growth, and economic growth will alter the availability and the use of water in the Willamette River Basin on a decadal to centennial timescale.  The project seeks to create a transferable method of predicting where climate change will create water scarcities and where those scarcities will exert the strongest impacts on human society.

Central Oregon - Forests, People and Fire

This project focused on improving our understanding of how biophysical systems, management actions, and socio-economic influences interact to affect sustainability in fire-prone landscapes under climate change. This work integrates social and ecological sciences to study a fire-prone landscape in central Oregon that includes private, state, federal, and tribal lands. We are developing a rich representation of social network influences on actro decision-making in this landscape, and coupling that with models of vegetation dynamics, fire, and habitat to identify policies and strategies for achieving landscape management goals.

Coupled Natural and Human Systems in the Southern Willamette Valley

This effort examines the interactions of climate change, land management policies and forest succession on fire hazard and ecosystem trajectories in the wildland-urban interface in two study areas located in Oregon's Willamette Valley.

Envision Skagit County 2060

The Envision Skagit 2060 project seeks to develop and implement a broadly-supported, 50-year plan to protect the Skagit and Samish River watersheds' many environmental values, maintain highly productive natural resource industries, and accommodate population growth in livable, walkable, and economically vibrant communities.

Puget Sound, Washington

Envision Puget Sound develops three alternative future scenarios for the Puget Sound Region, focusing on understanding impacts of three growth management strategies on land use/land cover change and nearshore ecosystem processes and services.